Category Archives: Political Predictions

Quantifying the Absence of Hope

It was the late seventies, back when you didn’t teach-to-the-test and actually tried to get the kids to learn a few things, and if possible, even understand them – but even then teaching high-school English was a dismal business, even … Continue reading

Posted in Midterm Elections, Nate Silver, Political Predictions | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

What a Fool Believes These Days

Long ago, in another age – 1979 actually – the nation was humming along to the hit song of the year, actually named Song of the Year by the Grammy folks, What a Fool Believes – the Doobie Brothers dabbling … Continue reading

Posted in Political Epistemology, Political Predictions, Republican Denial of Reality, Romney's Chances | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

What Moves What

No polling firm has ever called here and asked questions. And probably no one knows anyone who has been called by these firms, so maybe they make it all up – three bored guys in a back room deciding how … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Confidence, Mitt Romney, Obama Pulls Ahead, Political Predictions, Romney's Chances, Romney's Ryan Problem | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Future Tense, Quite Tense

What happens next? It’s a natural question. And you decide you think you might know. Obama calls for more offshore drilling and a week later we have the largest environmental disaster in American history when British Petroleum’s offshore absurdly deep … Continue reading

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