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About This Site
This site offers a daily column on current events, and unlike other blogs, in long form. Short posts pointing to this and that and saying "Oh my!" seems a bit lazy. Columns here are an attempt to think things through. If you'd like to come along for the ride, fine. If you have neither the time nor patience for that, that is also fine - you can click on the LINKS tab at the top of the page and visit the sites that offer quick hits. Those provide the raw material for the analyses here.
The views here are mine alone, save for the occasional column from Ric in Paris or comments from key readers, like Rick, the News Guy in Atlanta, and others.
Commentary and guest columns are posted here, but there is a sister site, Just Above Sunset Photography, where images are far more important than words. That site is updated daily. Take a look.
JUST ABOVE SUNSET has been online, in various formats, since May 2003. Click on the ABOUT tab at the top of the page for more on that, and a note on who I am.
~ Alan PavlikArchives
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All text and photos, unless otherwise noted, Copyright © 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013 - Alan M. Pavlik
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The current banner photo - looking northwest from Mulholland Drive, sunset on the day of Ronald Reagan's funeral, taking place far off in the distance -
Tag Archives: Nate Silver
Too Much Noise
Sometimes it is best to just stand down. No one likes waiting but sometimes there’s no alternative. The presidential election is Tuesday and by Sunday evening everything that was going to be said by every candidate and by every party … Continue reading
Posted in Identity Politics, Predicting who Will Win, Voter Suppression
Tagged Base Elections, Benghazi Scandal, Benghazi Stand-Down Order, Brit Hum Admits the Polls Favor Obama, Early Voting, Florida Voter Suppression, Giuliani Calls for Obama to Rising, Identity Politics, Long Lines to Vote, Nate Silver, Oho Voter Suppression, Pennsylvania Voter Suppression, Polling Show Obama Ahead, Predicting who Will Win, Race and Politics, Racial Politics, Rick Scott, Stopping Early Voting, The Signal and the Noise, Turnout Elections, Voter Suppression
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Forward or Perhaps Not
Forward. That was Obama’s one word campaign slogan this time, replacing Hope – not that anyone noticed. This was the Statisticians Election. There was endless daily polling at all levels and places you could go to see the averages of … Continue reading →